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We also agree with the IMF that our economy “is yet to receive boost from policy implementations that can withstand the shocks that pushed it into recession.” As the IMF and the World Bank observed, the exit from recession came on the heels of the new foreign exchange (FX) measures by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), rising oil prices, attractive yields on government securities, a tighter monetary policy and increased external reserve put at a little above bn.
In spite of this, Nigeria could relapse into recession if the government fails to reform and utilise the windfall from oil revenue that is now per barrel, against the projected benchmark of per barrel.
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This is in addition to low capital adequacy ratios and weak quality assets, which measure the soundness of banks.
Disturbingly, too, Nigeria still retains higher fiscal deficits, driven by weak revenue generation amid tighter domestic financing conditions, including bond yields that have crowded out the private sector credits.
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